So does that mean it’s over? No.
This is not the actual Iranian attack.
This is the ‘attack’ prearranged for show between Iran and the Biden administration through backchannels.
It’s an attack that allows Iran to show off that it can reach Israel (look at those lights over the Temple Mount) without inflicting any real damage.
The Biden administration has already made it clear that it will oppose any Israeli response. There will be public condemnations and warnings about escalating the conflict further.
So does that mean it’s over? No.
Iran did burn up some resources doing this, but apart from the morale boost of doing it, it set out to test US and Israeli defenses. And the defenses did what they were supposed to.
However had Iran actually been trying to launch a serious attack, it would have used its Hezbollah, Houthi, Iraqi, and whatever is left of its Hamas proxies to saturate local air defenses.
The Oct 7 attacks, planned by an Iranian IRGC general who was killed in the Israeli strikes on a terror target in Damascus, carefully analyzed Israel’s border and air defenses, its infrastructure, command and control in search of weaknesses to exploit. And did so effectively. That is what a serious attack would have done. And this was not it.
So what will Iran do next?
Iran is not currently ready for a regional war and it prefers to use its proxies to do its dirty work for it until that day comes. Oct 7 was an example of that, so were the Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and the Iraqi Shiite attacks on a U.S. base in Jordan that killed three servicemembers.
But Iran will do things beyond this light show which was largely meant to reassure the Biden administration that its “diplomatic tools” have successfully solved the problem. That’s an illusion that Iran has used to allow it to build up its nuclear weapons program, to sow dragon’s teeth around the region and to cut off international shipping at will.
The Iranian regime knows that America could destroy it. It also learned under Obama that its greatest defense is convincing D.C. elites that diplomacy will successfully deescalate any conflicts with the regime.
By starting a crisis and then allowing itself to be talked into standing down a little bit, before beginning the cycle again, Iran has been able to expand its sphere of influence without paying a price. It will strike more seriously, but it will do so in a way that will allow it to go on manipulating its diplomatic collaborators in D.C. and building power in the region.
From The Other Side of Town. says
Intrigue and manipulation have always been bedfellows with the Mid-East.
somehistory says
snakes strike from a hidden position and then slither away until the next time.
They have had a taste of causing some fear; they won’t wait long until the next attack.
Bruce David Watt says
Muslims are not allowed to make a treaty of more than 10 years or until they can overcome or kill you, so says Mohammad.
Ron says
It’s sad that Israel is paying the price for President Poopy Pants lack of hair on his balls. If Trump were in office now this would never happen.
OLD GUY says
YOU ARE RIGHT!
Bull Herman says
10-4 Roger D!
࿗Infidel࿘ says
I tend to believe you. There’s no reason Iran would have tried this on its own, given that it knows what the Iron Dome can do. This was probably arranged to give the Biden regime the opportunity to “defend” Israel, so that it could put more pressure on Israel going forward
Israel should be wary & continue ignoring US pressure to ease up on either Hamas, or not retaliate against Iran
SC says
Israel doesn’t need shit for brains’ permission to respond. The more vigorous the respone, the better.
Frank Anderson says
The Perfect Man and Perfect Example for All Generations promised a fortified community of Jews who had resisted his siege to the point that supplies were running short that if the Jews dropped their weapons and left their village, he would grant safe passage to another location. HE LIED. The men were slaughtered. The women and children were made slaves. A Muslim promise of “the end of combat” has NO meaning or value. Read Spencer’s Politically Incorrect Guide to Islam and the Crusades for a good start in overcoming the dangerous delusions most of us have suffered until we learn better.
Westman says
It seems that Iran tests the waters periodically to assess the Western limits short of evoking a response both diplomatically and militarily against Iran. Isn’t this a strategy to measuredly avoid a conflict that might result in Iran’s defeat while developing abilities until it is too late for the intended victim, Israel, to survive?
Iran, if it launched an full attack to destroy Israel, must consider that it will be killing Palestinians and accidently, Jordanians. It has no permissions for flyover of weapons, some of which will fail to reach Israel.
Waiting for years to respond directly on the Iranian Regime has led to this point where Israel is in grave danger. The US is partly to blame for this, choosing appeasement and binding Israel when coordinated actions with Israel should have been taken.
Now is the intersection of Iran’s rising abilities and the West’s declining support. A future two-state solution will place Israelis in well defined locations and Palestinians more seperated, an advantage and incentive for the Ayatollah’s weapons targeting.
It could be now or never for Israel to pare back Iran’s capabilities and stop its future nuclear weapons. Iran has clearly stated its long-standing primary goal is be the Muslim nation to annihilate Israel for Islam.
This coming US Presidential election may well determine the future existence of Israel. Biden is playing re-election politics and allowing Iran time to adjust its plans. Iran has now tested the long-range accuracy of its missiles and just bought more time to get its nuclear bomb ready.
somehistory says
The wsj
“Biden Presses for Diplomatic Response to Iran’s Attack on Israel”
Like the diplomatic response to the WTC towers? Nah. Only talk from seven nations
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/biden-pushes-for-diplomatic-response-to-iran-s-attack-on-israel/ar-BB1lAKzr?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=bee8f5abece744eea973366706ae0032&ei=88
Ron says
Talk is what our government does best. Useless talk shaded by tones of gray. The days of black and white words have passed.
Walk softly and carry a big stick!
John Smith says
I believe Israel will hit Iran hard for this attack, I just can’t see them allowing Iran to get away with this.
Cynthia says
Agreed and am sure Israel knows this. They also make a show of gratefulness to the Biden administration in order to get resupplied. This is Israel’s existential threat, not America’s.
However, the west is next on the list. We’re being primed and weakened first through immigration. Shi’a and Sunni will unite for this.
Wooster says
Well, let’s look at an incredible consequence of this attack: it failed, overwhelmingly. True, some rockets came through, but still, Iran got its ass whipped. Their rockets just aren’t up to snuff. And now consider the consequence for Gaza: what do you mean ‘cease fire’? Who was it that was firing? This will allow Israel to continue to do what must be done.
Unknown guy says
This attack was done as a response to the embassy bombings in Syria. Although, Iran knew that this will not cause any significant damage to Israel because of the Iron Done, it was done to show to the public that it is still a strong country. Authoritarian countries always tend to do this kind of things.