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May 13, 2025

Starbucks (SBUX) Stock Shows a Bullish Rectangular Bottom Pattern Discovered by Tickeron's AI

On May 8, 2025, Tickeron’s AI Pattern Search Engine identified a Rectangle Bottom Bullish pattern for Starbucks Corporation (SBUX), signaling a potential upward movement for the stock. With SBUX trading at $86.88, reflecting a $1.21 (+1.41%) increase as of May 13, 2025, and a market capitalization of $97.4 billion, this discovery has caught the attention of traders and investors. This article explores the significance of this pattern, its implications for SBUX, and the power of Tickeron’s AI-driven technology in spotting profitable stock patterns.

The Rectangle Bottom Bullish Pattern for SBUX

The Rectangle Bottom Bullish pattern, detected by Tickeron’s AI on May 8, 2025, is a technical chart formation that typically indicates a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Characterized by a period of consolidation where the stock price trades within a defined range—forming horizontal support and resistance levels—this pattern suggests that buyers are stepping in to defend the support level, building pressure for a breakout.

For SBUX, the pattern emerged with a breakout (entry) price of $84.77. Tickeron’s AI estimates a 63% confidence level for the stock to reach its target price, which is approximately 3% above the breakout level. This modest yet achievable target suggests a near-term opportunity for traders who take a long position following the breakout confirmation.

Historically, Rectangle Bottom patterns have proven effective for SBUX and other stocks. For example, Tickeron’s AI previously detected a Rectangle Bottom Bullish pattern for Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) on November 27, 2023, which resulted in a 13.87% gain within 10 days after hitting the target price of $23.07. Similarly, a Rectangle Bottom pattern for ServiceNow (NOW) on September 26, 2023, yielded a 22.73% return over 56 days. These examples underscore the potential reliability of this pattern when identified by Tickeron’s AI.

Given SBUX’s current price of $86.88 and its recent performance, the stock appears to be gaining momentum. The 1.41% increase on May 13, 2025, aligns with the bullish sentiment suggested by the pattern. However, investors should remain cautious, as recent analyses indicate mixed signals for SBUX, with some technical indicators pointing to bearish trends in the near term.

Implications for Starbucks (SBUX) Investors

Starbucks, a global leader in the consumer services sector, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee with a market cap of $97.4 billion. Despite its strong brand and operational scale, SBUX has faced challenges recently, underperforming the broader market with a 10.1% year-to-date decline as of May 2025. The company’s latest earnings report on April 29, 2025, revealed a 15.60% earnings surprise, with earnings per share of $0.41 against an expected $0.49, and revenue of $8.76 billion falling short of the $8.83 billion forecast.

The Rectangle Bottom Bullish pattern offers a glimmer of optimism for SBUX investors. The pattern’s emergence suggests that the stock may have found a support level, potentially at the $76.20–$80 range, as noted in recent wave analyses. If the breakout at $84.77 holds, the stock could climb toward the target price, offering a short-term trading opportunity. Additionally, Starbucks’ ongoing “Back to Starbucks” strategy and innovations, such as its first 3D-printed facility in Texas and a modernized dress code, may bolster investor confidence and support price recovery.

However, risks remain. Analysts have expressed concerns about declining comparable transactions in North America and China, and some forecasts predict a bearish outlook for SBUX through 2025, with a potential price drop to $80.70 in May and as low as $63.12 by November. Traders should monitor key resistance levels, such as $85.00 and $90.00, and use stop-loss orders to manage downside risk.

Tickeron’s AI Pattern Search Engine: Revolutionizing Stock Analysis

Tickeron’s AI Pattern Search Engine is a cutting-edge tool designed to identify profitable stock and ETF patterns, empowering traders with actionable insights. By leveraging advanced machine learning algorithms, the platform scans thousands of stocks in real time, detecting technical chart patterns like the Rectangle Bottom Bullish with high precision. This technology allows traders to stay ahead of market trends and capitalize on opportunities that might be missed by traditional analysis.

How It Works

The AI Pattern Search Engine analyzes historical and real-time price data to identify patterns based on predefined criteria, such as support and resistance levels, volume trends, and price action. Once a pattern is detected, the system assigns a confidence level—63% in the case of SBUX’s Rectangle Bottom pattern—and calculates a target price based on historical outcomes of similar patterns. The engine also provides breakout prices and expected timeframes, enabling traders to make informed entry and exit decisions.

Conclusion

The discovery of a Rectangle Bottom Bullish pattern for Starbucks (SBUX) by Tickeron’s AI Pattern Search Engine on May 8, 2025, presents a compelling opportunity for traders. With a breakout price of $84.77 and a 63% confidence level for a 3% price increase, SBUX may be poised for a short-term rally. However, given the stock’s mixed technical signals and broader market challenges, investors should approach with caution and conduct thorough research.

Tickeron’s AI Pattern Search Engine continues to prove its value by identifying high-probability patterns with remarkable accuracy. As SBUX navigates its turnaround strategy and market headwinds, tools like Tickeron’s AI offer traders a powerful ally in uncovering profitable opportunities. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or a newcomer, leveraging AI-driven insights could be the key to staying ahead in today’s dynamic markets.

 Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SBUX

SBUX saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for SBUX moved out of overbought territory on May 21, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 65 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 65 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SBUX as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SBUX moved below its 50-day moving average on May 28, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for SBUX moved below the 200-day moving average on May 05, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 224 cases where SBUX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.207). P/E Ratio (31.491) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.599). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.088) is also within normal values, averaging (1.852). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.711) is also within normal values, averaging (8.571).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBUX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 8.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 223.37B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 223.37B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. RRGB experienced the highest price growth at 80%, while NIHL experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 35%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was 37%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 100
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of coffee and tea

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
2401 Utah Avenue South
Phone
+1 206 447-1575
Employees
381000
Web
https://www.starbucks.com